tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 20%

  1. 13:20 SAN → 16:55 DEN
    WN 3496 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 DEN → 20:25 OAK
    WN 1843 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip7h 05mSAN 13:20 to OAK 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.