tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Detroit via Denver: arrives on time 20%

  1. 13:20 SAN → 16:55 DEN
    WN 3496 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 DEN → 23:55 DTW
    WN 2193 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 30% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip7h 35mSAN 13:20 to DTW 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.