tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 32%

  1. 11:55 SAN → 13:20 LAS
    WN 3508 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 LAS → 22:10 BWI
    WN 2205 · Southwest · 4h 38m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip7h 18mSAN 11:55 to BWI 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.