tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 06:30 SAN → 12:35 MDW
    WN 3513 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 MDW → 16:45 PHL
    WN 4351 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 10mSAN 06:30 to PHL 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.