tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via Austin: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:35 HOU → 16:30 AUS
    WN 352 · Southwest · 55m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 AUS → 19:50 BNA
    WN 261 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip4h 15mHOU 15:35 to BNA 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.