tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Houston via Phoenix: arrives on time 24%

  1. 14:45 SAN → 16:10 PHX
    WN 3525 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 PHX → 22:00 HOU
    WN 4203 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip5h 15mSAN 14:45 to HOU 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.