tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Phoenix via Sacramento: arrives on time 19%

  1. 13:55 SAN → 15:35 SMF
    WN 3547 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 SMF → 18:35 PHX
    WN 3231 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 40mSAN 13:55 to PHX 18:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.