tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → New Orleans via Baltimore: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:45 SAT → 20:10 BWI
    WN 3561 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 52% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 BWI → 23:00 MSY
    WN 4567 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 51% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 15mSAT 15:45 to MSY 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.