tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Seattle via Denver: arrives on time 18%

  1. 19:10 MCI → 20:05 DEN
    WN 3570 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DEN → 23:10 SEA
    WN 3856 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip5h 55mMCI 19:10 to SEA 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.