tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:10 RIC → 18:15 MCO
    WN 3579 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 MCO → 22:15 BWI
    WN 1015 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 62% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 05mRIC 16:10 to BWI 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.