tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Kansas City: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:40 MCI
    WN 358 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 MCI → 11:25 PHX
    WN 4651 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 25mDCA 06:00 to PHX 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.