tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:45 SAT → 09:20 MDW
    WN 3583 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MDW → 12:50 HOU
    WN 2783 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 05mSAT 06:45 to HOU 12:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.