tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:45 SAT → 09:20 MDW
    WN 3583 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MDW → 12:00 LAS
    WN 2794 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind San Antonio). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 15mSAT 06:45 to LAS 12:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.