tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Sacramento via Chicago: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:25 AUS → 15:55 MDW
    WN 359 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 59% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MDW → 21:20 SMF
    WN 2897 · Southwest · 4h 25m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 55mAUS 13:25 to SMF 21:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.