tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:00 SBA → 19:15 LAS
    WN 3602 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 LAS → 00:18 SMF +1 day
    WN 4226 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 18mSBA 18:00 to SMF 00:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.