tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:25 SDF → 07:15 BNA
    WN 3604 · Southwest · 50m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:39 BNA → 14:00 MIA
    AA 1521 · American · 2h 21m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 35mSDF 07:25 to MIA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.