tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Nashville: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:25 SDF → 07:15 BNA
    WN 3604 · Southwest · 50m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:57 BNA → 12:06 PHL
    AA 5576 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 90% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 41mSDF 07:25 to PHL 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.