tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Minneapolis via Nashville: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:25 SDF → 07:15 BNA
    WN 3604 · Southwest · 50m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 BNA → 10:15 MSP
    WN 2160 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 50mSDF 07:25 to MSP 10:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.