tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas via Nashville: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:25 SDF → 07:15 BNA
    WN 3604 · Southwest · 50m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:05 BNA → 10:00 DAL
    WN 486 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 35mSDF 07:25 to DAL 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.