tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:25 SDF → 07:15 BNA
    WN 3604 · Southwest · 50m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:25 BNA → 12:59 LGA
    DL 5688 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 91% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 34mSDF 07:25 to LGA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.