tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:15 SDF → 07:10 LAS
    WN 3607 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 LAS → 13:55 MDW
    WN 2271 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 40mSDF 06:15 to MDW 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.