tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:15 SDF → 07:10 LAS
    WN 3607 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 LAS → 11:00 PHX
    WN 2310 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 45mSDF 06:15 to PHX 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.