tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:45 SDF → 09:00 MDW
    WN 3609 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 97% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MDW → 12:00 LAS
    WN 2794 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 15mSDF 08:45 to LAS 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.