tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:35 SDF → 15:50 MDW
    WN 3610 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 75% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 MDW → 20:15 HOU
    WN 2785 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 56% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 40mSDF 15:35 to HOU 20:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.