tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Reno via San Diego: arrives on time 13%

  1. 16:00 LAS → 17:15 SAN
    WN 3620 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 SAN → 19:50 RNO
    WN 4875 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 30% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip3h 50mLAS 16:00 to RNO 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.