tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → El Paso via Las Vegas: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:45 SEA → 15:20 LAS
    WN 3620 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAS → 20:30 ELP
    WN 4260 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 45mSEA 12:45 to ELP 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.