tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 19%

  1. 18:55 CVG → 19:05 BNA
    WN 3624 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 BNA → 23:25 LGA
    WN 2144 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 39% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip4h 30mCVG 18:55 to LGA 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.