tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Phoenix via Sacramento: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:00 SEA → 06:50 SMF
    WN 3629 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 SMF → 09:35 PHX
    WN 106 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 35mSEA 05:00 to PHX 09:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.