Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Denver: arrives on time 2%

  1. 14:35 SFO → 18:10 DEN
    WN 3641 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 10% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 DEN → 22:48 MSY
    WN 3301 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 36% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection7%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 93% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time2%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (7%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 10mSFO 14:35 to MSY 22:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.