tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Orlando via Denver: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:20 SFO → 22:58 DEN
    WN 3642 · Southwest · 2h 38m · 50% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 DEN → 05:40 MCO +1 day
    WN 1597 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 20mSFO 19:20 to MCO 05:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.