tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Omaha via Las Vegas: arrives on time 10%

  1. 13:20 SFO → 15:00 LAS
    WN 3644 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 17% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 LAS → 20:40 OMA
    WN 4338 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection17%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 83% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (17%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 20mSFO 13:20 to OMA 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.