tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 91%

  1. 23:40 SFO → 05:55 MDW
    WN 3649 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 41% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:05 MDW → 11:20 LGA +1 day
    WN 2038 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 40mSFO 23:40 to LGA 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.