tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Phoenix via Dallas: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:30 MSY → 07:55 DAL
    WN 3664 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 DAL → 10:55 PHX
    WN 1166 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 25mMSY 06:30 to PHX 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.