tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Las Vegas via Dallas: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:30 MSY → 07:55 DAL
    WN 3664 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DAL → 09:35 LAS
    WN 695 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 88% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 05mMSY 06:30 to LAS 09:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.