tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Orlando via Las Vegas: arrives on time 50%

  1. 20:20 SJC → 21:50 LAS
    WN 3675 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 LAS → 06:25 MCO +1 day
    WN 4590 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 05mSJC 20:20 to MCO 06:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.