tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Nashville via Los Angeles: arrives on time 49%

  1. 20:20 SJC → 21:45 LAX
    WN 3681 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 LAX → 05:00 BNA +1 day
    WN 2382 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 40mSJC 20:20 to BNA 05:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.