tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Diego via Tampa: arrives on time 18%

  1. 14:40 HOU → 17:55 TPA
    WN 3709 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 TPA → 20:55 SAN
    WN 133 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip8h 15mHOU 14:40 to SAN 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.