tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:30 RNO → 13:40 DEN
    WN 3716 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 DEN → 18:20 MDW
    WN 1603 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 50mRNO 10:30 to MDW 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.