tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:40 AUS → 07:00 PHX
    WN 374 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:17 PHX → 17:29 JFK
    AA 2689 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 50mAUS 06:40 to JFK 17:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.