tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Raleigh/Durham via Denver: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:45 SLC → 18:15 DEN
    WN 3740 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 DEN → 00:40 RDU +1 day
    WN 1692 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 23% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (23%).
Total trip5h 55mSLC 16:45 to RDU 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.