tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Memphis via Denver: arrives on time 9%

  1. 16:45 SLC → 18:15 DEN
    WN 3740 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 22:32 MEM
    WN 2225 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip4h 50mSLC 16:45 to MEM 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.