tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → New Orleans via Denver: arrives on time 6%

  1. 16:45 SLC → 18:15 DEN
    WN 3740 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 DEN → 22:48 MSY
    WN 3301 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 36% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 00mSLC 16:45 to MSY 22:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.