tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Boise via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:20 MSP → 13:45 MDW
    WN 3743 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 59% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 MDW → 17:15 BOI
    WN 2737 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 55mMSP 12:20 to BOI 17:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.