tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fort Lauderdale via Chicago: arrives on time 32%

  1. 12:20 MSP → 13:45 MDW
    WN 3743 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 59% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 MDW → 18:55 FLL
    WN 4899 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 35mMSP 12:20 to FLL 18:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.