tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 56%

  1. 20:30 SLC → 20:55 LAS
    WN 3745 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 LAS → 05:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 2208 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 15mSLC 20:30 to BWI 05:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.