tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 20:30 SLC → 20:55 LAS
    WN 3745 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 LAS → 23:15 SFO
    WN 2345 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 26% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip3h 50mSLC 20:30 to SFO 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.