tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Tucson via Las Vegas: arrives on time 31%

  1. 20:30 SLC → 20:55 LAS
    WN 3745 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 LAS → 23:28 TUS
    WN 354 · Southwest · 1h 28m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip3h 58mSLC 20:30 to TUS 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.