tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Bozeman via Las Vegas: arrives on time 31%

  1. 20:30 SLC → 20:55 LAS
    WN 3745 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 LAS → 00:45 BZN +1 day
    WN 4336 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 17mSLC 20:30 to BZN 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.