tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 56%

  1. 21:25 SLC → 22:05 PHX
    WN 3753 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 32% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 PHX → 05:10 MDW +1 day
    WN 3298 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 45mSLC 21:25 to MDW 05:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.