tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Orlando via Phoenix: arrives on time 25%

  1. 21:25 SLC → 22:05 PHX
    WN 3753 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 32% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO +1 day
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 55mSLC 21:25 to MCO 06:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.